The Future Has Always Been Crazier Than We Thought
Filmed on Monday February 4, 02008Nassim Nicholas TalebThe Future Has Always Been Crazier Than We Thought Dispatches from ExtremistanA “black swan,” Taleb explained, is an event which is 1) Hard to predict; 2) Highly consequential; 3) Wrongly retro-predicted. We pretend we know why the big event happened, and so entrench our inability to deal with the next world-changing improbable event. Exampl..